Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 29.96% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.91%).
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
29.96% ( -0.64) | 23.71% ( 0.31) | 46.33% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 60.09% ( -1.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.34% ( -1.81) | 41.65% ( 1.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.94% ( -1.85) | 64.05% ( 1.86) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.47% ( -1.31) | 26.53% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.27% ( -1.77) | 61.73% ( 1.77) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.78% ( -0.58) | 18.22% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.76% ( -0.99) | 49.23% ( 1) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.96% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.61% Total : 46.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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