Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
Diniyev (57'),
Krivotsyuk (84'), Bayramov (88'), Mahammadaliyev (90+2'), Seydayev (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Azerbaijan 1-2 Austria
Emerging from Tofiq Bahramov Stadium with maximum points is never a straightforward task for any visiting side, so Austria may only secure a qualification-clenching victory by a one-goal margin on Monday. As several Austrian stars are either ruled out or struggling with injury, some fringe players will have to step up and seal their nation's place at the Euros.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Austria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Austria.
| Result |
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Austria |
24.26% ( -0.19) | 25.53% ( -0.09) | 50.2% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 49.51% ( 0.07) |
| 46.6% ( 0.18) | 53.4% ( -0.19) |
| 25.06% ( 0.15) | 74.93% ( -0.15) |
| 62.9% ( -0.07) | 37.09% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.11% ( -0.07) | 73.88% ( 0.07) |
| 78.7% ( 0.19) | 21.29% ( -0.2) |
