MX23RW : Saturday, June 1 18:02:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 34
May 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Lugano

Basel
1 - 1
Lugano

Zeqiri (34')
Zeqiri (38'), Males (62'), Calafiori (63'), Frei (90+4'), Vogel (90+7')
Vogel (0'), Calafiori (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Steffen (84')
Hajrizi (19'), Mahou (89'), Steffen (89'), Saipi (90+4')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Basel 1-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lugano 2-1 Winterthur
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
BaselDrawLugano
38.74% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 24.03% (0.012 0.01) 37.23% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.34% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.97% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)41.03% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.58% (-0.064 -0.06)63.42% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)21.3% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)54.24% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.05% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)55.39% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Basel 38.74%
    Lugano 37.23%
    Draw 24.03%
BaselDrawLugano
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.23%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm
gameweek 22
Lugano
2-2
Basel
Celar (33'), Aliseda (38')
Hajdari (90+4'), Hajrizi (90+2')
Males (74'), Lang (83')
Vogel (4'), Xhaka (31'), Burger (42'), Fink (68'), Lang (90+3')
Oct 9, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 10
Lugano
1-0
Basel
Mahou (33')
Sabbatini (24')
Aug 14, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 5
Basel
0-2
Lugano

Xhaka (32')
Babic (90+1'), Mahmoud (90+4')
Arigoni (4'), Daprela (42'), Valenzuela (87'), Saipi (90+2')
May 22, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 36
Basel
2-1
Lugano
Males (6'), Kasami (71')
Ndoye (30'), Pavlovic (34'), Kasami (72')
Kasami (74')
El Amine Amoura (27')
Ruegg (59'), Mahmoud (62')
Mahmoud (90+2')
Mar 6, 2022 1.15pm
gameweek 25
Lugano
0-2
Basel

Hajrizi (12'), Lovric (16'), Daprela (72')
Chalov (9'), Males (90+3')
Stocker (33'), Lopez (40'), Chalov (53'), Xhaka (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1Young Boys38238776344277
2LuganoLugano382051367511665
3Servette3818101059431664
4FC Zurich3816121053411260
5St GallenSt Gallen38169136051957
6FC WinterthurWinterthur381310156071-1149
Relegation Round
1Luzern381310154753-649
2Basel381310154552-749
3Yverdon Sport38138175071-2147
4Lausanne SportLausanne381112154853-545
5Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper38108204149-838
6Stade Lausanne-OuchySLO3878234077-3729
 
Regular Season
1Young Boys33198667323565
2LuganoLugano331851061441759
3Servette33169853381557
4St GallenSt Gallen33148115344950
5FC WinterthurWinterthur331310105556-149
6FC Zurich33121294435948
7Luzern33128134146-544
8Lausanne SportLausanne331010134348-540
9Basel33117154151-1040
10Yverdon Sport33117154364-2140
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper3386193545-1030
12Stade Lausanne-OuchySLO3358203366-3323


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!