After coming up short in the first leg, we expect Shamrock Rovers to produce a battling performance in Iceland, but with just two wins from their last 14 European away games, we think that they will be held to a draw, which would secure Breidablik a place in the second qualifying round.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Breidablik had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Breidablik win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.