Genk

4 - 1

Charleroi

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 78.38%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 8.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.