MX23RW : Monday, May 20 22:50:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Heidenheim

Mainz
0 - 1
Heidenheim


Krauss (38'), Ajorque (44'), Gruda (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pieringer (12')
Gimber (30'), Busch (34'), Beste (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 Heidenheim

While a draw will not be surprising, Mainz could inflict another away loss on Heidenheim, whose next defeat on the road would be their seventh. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawHeidenheim
47.47% (0.184 0.18) 23.69% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 28.84% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 59.4% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.76% (0.133 0.13)42.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (0.134 0.13)64.64% (-0.131 -0.13)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.122 0.12)17.99% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (0.21 0.21)48.85% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)27.57% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)63.09% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 47.47%
    Heidenheim 28.84%
    Draw 23.69%
Mainz 05DrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.84%

How you voted: Mainz vs Heidenheim

Mainz 05
53.3%
Draw
26.7%
Heidenheim
20.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!