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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Heidenheim |
47.47% ( 0.18) | 23.69% ( -0.05) | 28.84% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 59.4% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.76% ( 0.13) | 42.24% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.36% ( 0.13) | 64.64% ( -0.13) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82% ( 0.12) | 17.99% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.14% ( 0.21) | 48.85% ( -0.21) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.43% ( -0.02) | 27.57% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.91% ( -0.03) | 63.09% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Heidenheim |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 47.47% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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