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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
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RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Augsburg

Simons (6'), Openda (11'), Raum (27')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 4-1 Augsburg

 While RB Leipzig have scored 10 goals in three Bundesliga games this season, Augsburg have already conceded nine times, failing to taste victory along the way. With that in mind, we expect the Red Bulls to notch another high-scoring win on Saturday, extending Augsburg's winless run in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
67.12% (0.989 0.99) 17.74% (-0.29 -0.29) 15.13% (-0.702 -0.7)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-0.679 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.13% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)31.87% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.59% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)53.41% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.21% (0.199 0.2)8.78% (-0.2011 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.85% (0.48399999999999 0.48)30.15% (-0.486 -0.49)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.02% (-0.893 -0.89)33.97% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (-0.975 -0.97)70.65% (0.97199999999999 0.97)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.12%
    Augsburg 15.13%
    Draw 17.74%
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 7.73% (0.059 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 7.16% (0.225 0.23)
4-1 @ 4.7% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.35% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.29% (0.059 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.104 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 0.93% (0.032 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 67.12%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.98% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.74%
1-2 @ 4.23% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.22% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 15.13%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Augsburg

RB Leipzig
90.9%
Draw
6.8%
Augsburg
2.3%
44
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> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
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May 8, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
RB Leipzig
4-0
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Silva (40'), Nkunku (48', 57'), Forsberg (64' pen.)
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Gouweleeuw (72'), Gunther (77')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Augsburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Caligiuri (86' pen.)
Dorsch (44'), Sarenren Bazee (87')
Silva (19')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
RB Leipzig
2-1
Augsburg
Olmo (38' pen.), Nkunku (43')
Klostermann (41'), Orban (62'), Adams (72')
Caligiuri (77' pen.)
Oxford (3'), Gouweleeuw (22'), Suchy (28'), Gikiewicz (34'), Benes (63')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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