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Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Bristol City

Norwich
3 - 2
Bristol City

Pukki (11', 23'), Sargent (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Conway (44'), Semenyo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Bristol City

As the joint top goalscorers in the division, it would be naive to write off Bristol City ahead of arguably the most daunting trip in the division. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the Canaries, who are playing with confidence at each end of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
55.1% (0.61 0.61) 22.68% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 22.22% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 56.06% (-1.095 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44% (-1.037 -1.04)43.56% (1.041 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (-1.026 -1.03)65.95% (1.028 1.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)15.7% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.24% (-0.291 -0.29)44.76% (0.293 0.29)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-1.172 -1.17)33.5% (1.176 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86% (-1.305 -1.31)70.14% (1.308 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 55.1%
    Bristol City 22.22%
    Draw 22.67%
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.386 0.39)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.31 0.31)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.162 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 55.1%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.236 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 22.22%

How you voted: Norwich vs Bristol City

Norwich City
80.2%
Draw
10.5%
Bristol City
9.3%
86
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Oct 31, 2020 12.30pm
Bristol City
1-3
Norwich
Hunt (15')
Pukki (6', 14'), Buendia (45+1')
Sorensen (60'), Gibson (66'), Krul (73'), Rupp (77')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Norwich
3-2
Bristol City
McLean (36', 66'), Godfrey (55')
Trybull (70')
Paterson (12'), O'Dowda (37')
Kalas (38'), Watkins (95'), Palmer (96')
Dec 15, 2018 5.30pm
Bristol City
2-2
Norwich
Diedhiou (45'), O'Dowda (53')
Watkins (83')
Stiepermann (39'), Aarons (78')
Tettey (41'), Buendia (71'), Godfrey (82')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Bristol City
0-1
Norwich

Baker (64')
Maddison (79')
Maddison (25'), Lewis (42'), Tettey (57'), Oliveira (83'), Pinto (97')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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