MX23RW : Saturday, June 1 17:12:56| >> :60:181:181:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Botafogo logo

Guarani
0 - 0
Botafogo


Camacho (65'), Gil Romero (67')
FT

Santos (32'), Marcal (45+2'), Freitas (90+5'), Cuesta (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Guarani and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Guarani
Wednesday, August 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: Guarani 1-2 Botafogo (Botafogo win 4-2 on aggregate)

Their form domestically has dropped a little of late, but Fogo have reacted well when faced with a setback, while managing to salvage their share of results, and the Guarani defensive issues of late have us leaning towards the Brazilians advancing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 46.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Guarani win it was 1-0 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
GuaraniDrawBotafogo
25.52% (0.26 0.26) 27.59% (0.722 0.72) 46.89% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)
Both teams to score 44.94% (-1.723 -1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.1% (-2.325 -2.33)59.89% (2.322 2.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.84% (-1.81 -1.81)80.16% (1.808 1.81)
Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.42% (-1.07 -1.07)39.58% (1.068 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.73% (-1.003 -1)76.27% (1.001 1)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (-1.511 -1.51)25.61% (1.509 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (-2.102 -2.1)60.49% (2.099 2.1)
Score Analysis
    Guarani 25.52%
    Botafogo 46.88%
    Draw 27.57%
GuaraniDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 9.39% (0.538 0.54)
2-1 @ 5.93% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.35% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.83% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 25.52%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 10.13% (0.848 0.85)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 13.8% (0.6 0.6)
0-2 @ 9.41% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 46.88%

How you voted: Guarani vs Botafogo

Guarani
23.5%
Draw
5.9%
Botafogo
70.6%
17
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2023 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Botafogo
2-1
Guarani
Hugo (65'), Tiquinho (90' pen.)
Eduardo (45+4')
Benitez (3')
Gil Romero (40'), Martinez (83'), Rios (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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