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Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
3 - 0
Almere City

van Amersfoort (15', 70'), van Beek (40')
Haye (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Royo (39'), van Bruggen (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Sittard
Saturday, November 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-5 Heracles
Sunday, November 26 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 3-1 Almere City

Heerenveen have been prolific in front of their home supporters recently, scoring 11 goals in their last three matches at Abe Lenstra Stadion, and we expect that theme to continue on Friday. Almere's confidence would have been severely knocked by the loss to Hercales last time out, and we cannot envisage them recovering in time to earn a result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAlmere City
60.68% (-0.102 -0.1) 20.47% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 18.84% (0.087 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (0.071999999999996 0.07)38.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59% (0.076999999999998 0.08)60.4% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.81% (-0.005999999999986 -0.01)12.18% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.16% (-0.012 -0.01)37.83% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (0.12899999999999 0.13)33.68% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (0.143 0.14)70.33% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 60.68%
    Almere City 18.84%
    Draw 20.47%
HeerenveenDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 60.68%
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 18.84%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Almere City

Heerenveen
71.0%
Draw
29.0%
Almere City
0.0%
31
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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