J1 League | Gameweek 8
Apr 14, 2024 at 7am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium
Gamba Osaka2 - 1Sagan Tosu
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Yokohama 2-0 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, April 10 at 11am in J1 League
Wednesday, April 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 3-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 7 at 7am in J1 League
Sunday, April 7 at 7am in J1 League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 48.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
Result | ||
Gamba Osaka | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
48.47% ( -0.2) | 25.88% ( 0.21) | 25.65% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.77% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.3% ( -0.83) | 53.7% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.81% ( -0.71) | 75.18% ( 0.71) |
Gamba Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( -0.44) | 22.17% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.43% ( -0.66) | 55.57% ( 0.66) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.95% ( -0.47) | 36.05% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.17% ( -0.47) | 72.83% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Gamba Osaka 48.46%
Sagan Tosu 25.65%
Draw 25.88%
Gamba Osaka | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.65% |
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 11am
Feb 25, 2023 6am
May 29, 2022 9am
Oct 23, 2021 9am
Gameweek 33
Gamba Osaka
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-17 21:02:54
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vissel KobeVissel Kobe | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 26 |
4 | Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
5 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 22 |
6 | Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Cerezo OsakaCerezo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
9 | Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
12 | Kashiwa ReysolReysol | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
13 | Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Yokohama F MarinosYokohama | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
15 | Albirex Niigata | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Jubilo Iwata | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 14 |
17 | Sagan Tosu | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 14 |
18 | Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 11 |
19 | Consadole SapporoConsadole | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 11 |
20 | Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 9 |
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