Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
