Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
51.77% ( 1.08) | 26.65% ( 0.2) | 21.58% ( -1.28) |
Both teams to score 43.58% ( -1.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.36% ( -1.77) | 59.64% ( 1.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.04% ( -1.38) | 79.96% ( 1.38) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% ( -0.28) | 23.22% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.87% ( -0.41) | 57.13% ( 0.41) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.76% ( -2.32) | 43.24% ( 2.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.51% ( -2.01) | 79.49% ( 2.01) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 14.66% ( 0.84) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |