Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 15.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
Result | ||
Monterrey | Draw | Toluca |
62.86% ( -0.63) | 21.76% ( 0.46) | 15.38% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 46.78% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.25% ( -1.55) | 49.75% ( 1.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.24% ( -1.4) | 71.76% ( 1.41) |
Monterrey Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.76% ( -0.71) | 15.24% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.09% ( -1.36) | 43.91% ( 1.36) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.2% ( -0.7) | 44.8% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.22% ( -0.57) | 80.78% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Monterrey 62.86%
Toluca 15.38%
Draw 21.75%
Monterrey | Draw | Toluca |
1-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.14% Total : 62.86% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.75% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.41% Total : 15.38% |
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 1am
Toluca
1-1
Monterrey
Fernandez (27')
Fernandez (38'), Ortega (59')
Fernandez (38'), Ortega (59')
Sep 23, 2021 1.06am
Monterrey
2-0
Toluca
Cristante (33'), Ortega (40'), Rigonato Rodrigues (86'), Pardo (90+3'), Lopez (90+4')
Jul 29, 2020 1am
Monterrey
3-1
Toluca
Medina (46')
Sauro (19'), Cisneros (75')
Sauro (19'), Cisneros (75')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-01 16:57:40
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 40 |
2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 33 |
3 | Tigres | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
5 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
8 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 23 |
10 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
11 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
12 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 22 |
13 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
14 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
15 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 18 |
16 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 17 |
17 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 17 |
18 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
> Liga MX Full Table |
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