MX23RW : Monday, May 20 11:05:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Le Havre

Brest
1 - 0
Le Havre

Lees-Melou (34')
Del Castillo (52'), Martin (72'), Satriano (76'), Lees-Melou (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

El Hajjam (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-3 Brest
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Reims
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-0 Le Havre

Le Havre competed well against Reims last time out and will be desperate to pick up a result and halt their drop towards the bottom three, but we see the second-placed hosts being too strong and taking all three points to extend their fine run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
BrestDrawLe Havre
60.74% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.56% (0.141 0.14) 15.7% (-0.139 -0.14)
Both teams to score 42.44% (-0.652 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.99% (-0.717 -0.72)56.01% (0.72000000000001 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9% (-0.587 -0.59)77.1% (0.589 0.59)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (-0.262 -0.26)18.17% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.85% (-0.453 -0.45)49.15% (0.456 0.46)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.87% (-0.625 -0.63)48.14% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.67% (-0.46 -0.46)83.33% (0.46299999999999 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Brest 60.73%
    Le Havre 15.7%
    Draw 23.55%
BrestDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 14.91% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 12.71% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 7.23% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.239 0.24)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.99% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.7%

How you voted: Brest vs Le Havre

Brest
90.0%
Draw
5.0%
Le Havre
5.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 2
Le Havre
1-2
Brest
Kuzyaev (52')
Del Castillo (28'), Brassier (56')
Camara (47'), Camblan (89')
Feb 1, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 23
Le Havre
1-1
Brest
Bain (24')
Assifuah (17'), Bonnet (53')
Ferhat (39')
Charbonnier (48')
Belkebla (31'), Court (33')
Chardonnet (83')
Aug 28, 2018 7pm
Second Round
Le Havre
3-3
Brest
Le Havre win 6-5 on penalties
Gory (20', 35'), Moussiti-Oko (49')
Chardonnet (66'), Autret (67'), Castelletto (69')
Henry (82')
Aug 24, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 5
Brest
1-0
Le Havre
Mayi (86')
Pi (32'), Belaud (88')

Thiare (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Lorient3478194366-2329
17Metz3485213558-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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