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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Lille

Brest
0 - 0
Lille

FT

Cabella (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Brest
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Reims
Monday, January 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-2 Lille

Under new management, Brest will hope they can turn a corner following a tough start, but a third consecutive European-chasing opponent will present a huge challenge. This has not been a happy hunting ground recently though for Lille, and there will be pressure on the side to win given their underwhelming league position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLille
19.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.87% (0.00099999999999767 0) 57.18% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)47.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.044 -0.04)69.49% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16% (-0.067 -0.07)37.84% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)74.61% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.84% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brest 19.95%
    Lille 57.16%
    Draw 22.87%
BrestDrawLille
1-0 @ 5.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 19.95%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 11.18% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.14% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.79% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 57.16%

How you voted: Brest vs Lille

Brest
16.2%
Draw
15.2%
Lille
68.6%
105
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 4pm
Brest
2-0
Lille
Djalo (3' og.), Mounie (90+5' pen.)
Mounie (11'), Agoume (27')

Yilmaz (54'), Mandava (57'), Sanches (58')
Oct 23, 2021 8pm
Lille
1-1
Brest
David (19')
Mandava (31')
Faivre (32')
Herelle (70'), Bizot (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Nov 8, 2020 12pm
Brest
3-2
Lille
Pierre-Gabriel (15'), Perraud (19'), Cardona (42')
Chardonnet (52'), Mounie (56'), Larsonneur (87'), Faussurier (90+1')
Yilmaz (45+3' pen., 57')
Yilmaz (45+3'), Mandava (64'), Fonte (90+4')
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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