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DC United
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Philadelphia Union

DC United
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Dajome (9'), Murrell (33')
Ku-Dipietro (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bedoya (42'), McGlynn (79')
Carranza (20'), Flach (45+2'), Lowe (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 2-1 Seattle
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-3 Seattle
Wednesday, May 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 2-1 Philadelphia Union

There is little separating the teams heading into this one, and Saturday's clash could easily head either way. That said, we just about back the home side to emerge victorious in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.22% (-0.28 -0.28) 24.49% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 32.29% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 58.54% (0.223 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (0.234 0.23)44.21% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.42% (0.227 0.23)66.58% (-0.223 -0.22)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)20.57% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)53.09% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (0.306 0.31)26.31% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57% (0.407 0.41)61.43% (-0.405 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    DC United 43.23%
    Philadelphia Union 32.29%
    Draw 24.48%
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 43.23%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.047999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 32.29%

How you voted: DC United vs Philadelphia

DC United
63.6%
Draw
0.0%
Philadelphia Union
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
DC United
1-3
Philadelphia
Ku-Dipietro (88')
Miller (36')
Uhre (5'), McGlynn (13'), Gazdag (38' pen.)
Harriel (68'), Glesnes (76'), Donovan (90+4')
May 18, 2023 12.55am
Aug 21, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-6
Philadelphia
Uhre (37'), Gazdag (45+4' pen.), Carranza (47', 70', 74'), Burke (79')
Jul 9, 2022 12.30am
Aug 29, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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