Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | Atlanta United |
50.94% ( -2.84) | 22.46% ( 0.98) | 26.6% ( 1.87) |
Both teams to score 61.92% ( -1.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.9% ( -2.92) | 38.1% ( 2.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.64% ( -3.19) | 60.37% ( 3.19) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.83% ( -1.93) | 15.17% ( 1.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.21% ( -3.78) | 43.79% ( 3.79) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( -0.19) | 27% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% ( -0.25) | 62.35% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.44) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.43) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.31) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.29) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.25) Other @ 4% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.55) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.4) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.69) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |