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Sporting Kansas
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
Houston Dynamo

Kansas
1 - 2
Houston

Salloi (61')
Rodriguez (45'), Fontas (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Herrera (31'), Ibrahim (78')
Kowalczyk (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo have struggled in front of goal recently, but we can see them getting on the scoresheet in this one. That said, we are also backing the home side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawHouston Dynamo
46.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 29.1% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)46.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)68.86% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)20.24% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)52.57% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)29.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.63% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 46.2%
    Houston Dynamo 29.11%
    Draw 24.69%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.11%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 1.30am
Houston
1-1
Kansas
Segal (69')
Olsen (58')
Thommy (61')
Russell (57'), Thommy (67')
Nov 27, 2023 12am
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
2-1
Houston
Russell (7' pen.), Agade (45+6')
Radoja (34'), Vermes (35'), Thommy (73'), Rosero (88'), Salloi (90+6')
Russell (39')
Hadebe (45+9')
B (0'), Escobar (45+1'), Dorsey (74'), Caicedo (83')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Kansas
Ibrahim (45+2'), Franco (90+8')
Ulfarsson (49'), Herrera (50'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pulido (25', 62')
Rosero (65'), Leibold (90+11')
Sep 11, 2022 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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