MX23RW : Saturday, June 1 15:21:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
5 - 1
Al Tai

Otavio (20'), Ghareeb (45+7'), Ronaldo (64', 67', 87')
Telles (43'), Brozovic (62'), Alawjami (73'), Yahya (88'), Abdulhakim Al Fatil (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Misidjan (22')
Misidjan (14')
Misidjan (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Tai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Ahli 0-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Tai 1-1 Al Ettifaq
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al Tai

While closing the gap to the league leaders seems unlikely considering Al-Hilal's dominance this season, Al Nassr still have some work to do to secure their spot in next season's AFC Champions League and will see this as an excellent opportunity to pick up another three points against a side that has been languishing near the bottom of the table for the majority of the campaign. Al Tai have shown signs of improvement lately, but we feel they will be no match for the Knights of Najd in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Al Tai had a probability of 8.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.83%), while for an Al Tai win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Tai
78.23% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 13.15% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 8.62% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.89% (-0.255 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.04% (-0.26400000000001 -0.26)26.96% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.57% (-0.336 -0.34)47.43% (0.336 0.34)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.5% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)5.5% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.56% (-0.169 -0.17)21.45% (0.169 0.17)
Al Tai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.14% (-0.233 -0.23)40.86% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.57% (-0.209 -0.21)77.43% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 78.23%
    Al Tai 8.62%
    Draw 13.15%
Al-NassrDrawAl Tai
2-0 @ 9.45% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 9.14% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 8.18% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.63% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.52% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 5.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 3.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 5.25%
Total : 78.23%
1-1 @ 5.83% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.25% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 13.15%
1-2 @ 2.61%
0-1 @ 2.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 8.62%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Tai

Al-Nassr
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Al Tai
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 8
Al Tai
1-2
Al-Nassr
Misidjan (79')
Dugandzic (37'), Misidjan (82'), Roco (86'), Al Harabi (86')
Talisca (32'), Ronaldo (87' pen.)
Alkhaibari (59'), Mane (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CAl-HilalAl-Hilal343130101237896
2Al-Nassr342644100425882
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli34198767353265
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun341611751351659
5Al Ittihad34166126354954
6Al Ettifaq341212104334948
7Al Fateh34129135755245
8Al ShababAl Shabab34128144542344
9Al Fayha341111124452-844
10Damac341011134445-141
11Al RaedAl Raed34910154149-837
12Al Khaleej34910153647-1137
13Al WahdaAl Wahda34106184560-1536
14Al Riyadh34811153357-2435
15Al Okhdood3496193352-1933
RAbha3495203887-4932
RAl Tai3487193464-3031
RAl Hazem34412183476-4224


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