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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lecce logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Lecce

Anderson (58')
Zaccagni (45'), Guendouzi (77'), Vecino (89'), Immobile (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gendrey (45'), Venuti (75'), Ramadani (81'), Pongracic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Roma
Wednesday, January 10 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Lecce

It is no coincidence that Lazio's improved form has arrived after re-finding last season's defensive steel. As Lecce often lack punch - particularly away from home - the home side should earn some revenge for their opening-day defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
LazioDrawLecce
58.27% (-0.143 -0.14) 24.87% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 16.85% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 41.26% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.13% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)58.88% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)79.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)20.19% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5% (-0.107 -0.11)52.5% (0.107 0.11)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.7% (0.108 0.11)48.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.55% (0.081 0.08)83.45% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 58.27%
    Lecce 16.85%
    Draw 24.87%
LazioDrawLecce
1-0 @ 15.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08%
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.31% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 16.85%

How you voted: Lazio vs Lecce

Lazio
73.3%
Draw
15.6%
Lecce
11.1%
45
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Almqvist (85'), Di Francesco (87')
Espeto (68'), Gonzalez (80'), Pongracic (80')
Immobile (26')
Isaksen (71'), Pellegrini (90+4')
May 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
2-2
Lecce
Immobile (34'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+4')
Oudin (45+2', 51')
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Espeto (57'), Colombo (71')
Immobile (14')
Jul 7, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Nov 10, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 12
Lazio
4-2
Lecce
Correa (30', 80'), Milinkovic-Savic (62'), Immobile (77' pen.)
Leiva (34'), Immobile (67')
Lapadula (40'), La Mantia (85')
Mancosu (4'), Lapadula (59'), Lucioni (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
15FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
19SassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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