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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 25
Mar 12, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayıs Stadyumu
Alanyaspor

Ankaragucu
2 - 0
Alanyaspor

Sowe (18'), Milson (76')
Agcay (2'), Milson (8'), Kilinc (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ozdemir (1'), Mahgoub (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Ankaragucu
Sunday, March 5 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-0 Istanbul
Friday, March 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ankaragucu 0-1 Alanyaspor

We believe that this will be a low-scoring affair due to the low attacking output of both sides, but think that the visitors will take the victory from this match as they possess a more potent frontline than the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawAlanyaspor
48.36% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 23.37% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 28.27% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 60.12% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)41.1% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)63.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (0.019000000000005 0.02)17.21% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.5% (0.033000000000001 0.03)47.5% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)27.38% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-0.117 -0.12)62.85% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 48.36%
    Alanyaspor 28.27%
    Draw 23.37%
AnkaragucuDrawAlanyaspor
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 48.36%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 28.27%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2022 6pm
Alanyaspor
2-1
Ankaragucu
Mahgoub (65'), Bekiroglu (87')
Doumbia (49')
Gureler (69')
May 15, 2021 4pm
Ankaragucu
0-1
Alanyaspor

Cetin (57'), Cankaya (88')
Davidson (24')
Karaca (55')
Jan 25, 2021 4pm
Alanyaspor
4-3
Ankaragucu
Ucan (37'), Bakasetas (54'), Babacar (62'), Moubandje (79')
Babacar (69')
Paintsil (3', 28'), Badji (65')
Akdag (35'), Paintsil (39'), Gural (84')
Jul 4, 2020 4.30pm
Ankaragucu
1-4
Alanyaspor
Rivas (82')
Kitsiou (58'), Rivas (77')
Cisse (64'), Bulut (67'), Bakasetas (78' pen.), Fernandes (90')
Welinton (42'), Altintas (89')
Nov 30, 2019 2.30pm
Alanyaspor
5-0
Ankaragucu
Bakasetas (16', 86'), Djalma (24', 93', 95')
Cisse (57')

Karayel (63'), Orgill (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CGalatasarayGalatasaray383332922666102
2Fenerbahce38316199316899
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor382141369501967
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul381871357431461
5BesiktasBesiktas38168145247556
6KasimpasaKasimpasa38168146265-356
7SivassporSivasspor381412124754-754
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor381216105350352
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor38148164858-1050
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor381213134449-549
11Adana Demirspor381014145461-744
12GaziantepGaziantep38128185057-744
13Samsunspor381110174252-1043
14KayserisporKayserispor381112154457-1342
15Hatayspor38914154552-741
16KonyasporKonyaspor38914154053-1341
RFatih KaragumrukKaragumruk381010184952-340
RAnkaragucuAnkaragucu38816144652-640
RPendikspor38910194273-3137
RIstanbulspor3847272780-5316


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