Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Laurent Pokou Stadium
Congo DR win 8-7 on penalties
We say: Egypt 2-1 Congo DR
The seven-time AFCON champions have been far from impressive in this tournament, and there will be a fair few nerves heading into this match. While Congo DR have not set the stage alight in this competition, they have shown tremendous resilience and will likely try to keep this match level for as long as possible, which could open up gaps in the Egyptian defence on the counter-attack.
This match could easily go the distance, but we are backing the Egyptians to progress when all is said and done.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 14.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.46%).
Result |
Egypt | Draw | Congo DR |
61.79% ( -0.17) | 23.9% ( 0.06) | 14.31% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 38.77% ( 0.08) |