Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 54.36%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 23.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
