Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 30, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Atletico Mineiro1 - 2Flamengo
FT(HT: 1-0)
De Arrascaeta (80'), Wesley (87')
Luis (15'), Pereira (25'), De Arrascaeta (81'), Barbosa (90+2'), Cunha (90+4')
Luis (15'), Pereira (25'), De Arrascaeta (81'), Barbosa (90+2'), Cunha (90+4')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, July 23 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 23 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Flamengo
Thursday, July 27 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, July 27 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Flamengo had a probability of 25.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Flamengo win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Flamengo |
47.85% ( 0.18) | 26.22% ( 0.03) | 25.92% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.02% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.21% ( -0.26) | 54.79% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.9% ( -0.21) | 76.1% ( 0.21) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% ( -0.03) | 22.91% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.32% ( -0.04) | 56.67% ( 0.03) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% ( -0.32) | 36.4% ( 0.32) |