Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 46.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 1-0 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
