MX23RW : Saturday, June 1 16:51:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Athletico Paranaense

Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Athletico PR

Neves (19'), Luciano (47')
Calleri (59'), Neves (85'), Paulista (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Roque (11')
Santana (44'), Heleno (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sao Paulo 2-1 Athletico Paranaense

Sao Paulo have won four of their five home league games this season, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage when they face an Athletico Paranaense side who have lost three of their opening five away matches in the Brasileiro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 11.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.

Result
Sao PauloDrawAthletico Paranaense
68.38% (0.0050000000000097 0.01) 19.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 11.97% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.0040000000000049 0)48.25% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.6% (0.004999999999999 0)70.4% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)13.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.34% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)39.66% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.95% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)84.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 68.36%
    Athletico Paranaense 11.97%
    Draw 19.66%
Sao PauloDrawAthletico Paranaense
2-0 @ 13.29%
1-0 @ 13.06%
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 9.02% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 6.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.28%
5-0 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 68.36%
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.36%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 19.66%
0-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 3.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 11.97%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Athletico PR

Sao Paulo
73.7%
Draw
21.1%
Athletico Paranaense
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
Athletico PR
1-0
Sao Paulo
Bueno (69' pen.)
Fernandinho (80'), Cittadini (84'), Heleno (86')

Luizao (42'), Alves (51'), Nikao (68'), Luciano (85')
Apr 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Sao Paulo
4-0
Athletico PR
Calleri (19', 52', 70'), Luciano (74')
Alisson (23')

Henrique (50'), Bueno (57'), Christian (82')
Nov 25, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 34
Sao Paulo
0-0
Athletico PR
Reinaldo (14'), Calleri (29'), Pele (90')
Santos (29'), Marcinho (71')
Aug 7, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 15
Athletico PR
1-2
Sao Paulo
Kayzer (28')
Richard (73'), Heleno (75')
Pablo (14' pen., 33')
Juan (17'), Vinicius (27'), Perri (82'), Galeano (88')
Benitez (82')
Jan 17, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 30
Athletico PR
1-1
Sao Paulo
Kayzer (39')
Canesin (80'), Eduardo (84')
Tche (61')
Arboleda (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR641193613
2Bahia641196313
3FlamengoFlamengo632175211
4Botafogo6312127510
5Sao Paulo6312106410
6Cruzeiro531187110
7Atletico Mineiro52309369
8BragantinoBragantino62317619
9PalmeirasPalmeiras62223308
10FortalezaFortaleza51405417
11InternacionalInternacional42114317
12Gremio42024316
13Vasco da GamaVasco6204611-56
14CriciumaCriciuma31206245
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Corinthians612335-25
17Fluminense6123812-45
18Vitoria5014511-61
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO501428-61
20Cuiaba4004010-100


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