MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 00:27:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Freiburg logo

Augsburg
2 - 1
Freiburg

Uduokhai (72'), Engels (81')
Vargas (23'), Bauer (79'), Iago (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grifo (19' pen.)
Hofler (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Lens
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Freiburg

Freiburg will be full of confidence after Thursday's European outing, and we think that they will follow that result with a narrow win over an Augsburg side that has lost two of their previous three home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
37.67% (-1 -1) 24.66% (0.321 0.32) 37.67% (0.68 0.68)
Both teams to score 59% (-1.16 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-1.506 -1.51)44.07% (1.506 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-1.484 -1.48)66.45% (1.484 1.48)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-1.18 -1.18)23.19% (1.18 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92% (-1.755 -1.76)57.08% (1.755 1.76)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)23.19% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92% (-0.477 -0.48)57.08% (0.47600000000001 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 37.67%
    Freiburg 37.67%
    Draw 24.66%
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.241 0.24)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 37.67%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.345 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.433 0.43)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.264 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.09% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.103 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 37.67%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Freiburg

Augsburg
39.6%
Draw
24.5%
Freiburg
35.8%
53
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Grifo (5' pen.), Lienhart (56')
Rohl (50'), Sildillia (75')

Breithaupt (60'), Michel (84')
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
3-1
Augsburg
Gregoritsch (13'), Holer (30'), Lienhart (85')
Berisha (29' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Augsburg
0-4
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (46'), Grifo (48'), Ginter (61'), Doan (78')
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Freiburg
3-0
Augsburg
Kubler (6'), Holer (25'), Grifo (33' pen.)

Gouweleeuw (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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