Even Antwerp's recent streak of impressive defensive displays should count for little against a Shakhtar side who always find a way through the opposition's defence, even if they come out on the wrong end of the scoreline, as was the case a fortnight ago.
However, with several key players set to return to the XI against a Reds side lacking attacking inspiration, Shakhtar need only prolong their prolific streak in front of goal to emerge victorious and leave Antwerp still searching for their first group-stage point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
0.25) 
-0.3) 
