Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Bristol City
Bristol City are bound to fight resiliently, as they have throughout the season with each of their last five games finishing with a one-goal margin, but their defensive options are almost exhausted, and with home advantage and the confidence from their dominant midweek display, we envisage the Bluebirds coming out on top in South Wales.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 45.99% . A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.72%) . The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
Result Cardiff City Draw Bristol City 45.99% 26.71% ( -0.05) 27.3% ( 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.66% ( 0.18)
44.22% ( 0.21) 55.78% ( -0.21)
23.09% ( 0.17) 76.91% ( -0.17)
75.79% ( 0.09) 24.21% ( -0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.45% ( 0.13) 58.55% ( -0.13)
64.21% ( 0.16) 35.79% ( -0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.43% ( 0.16) 72.57% ( -0.16)
Cardiff City 45.99%
Bristol City 27.3%
Draw 26.7%
Cardiff City Draw Bristol City 1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.99% 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.7% 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.3%
How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City
Cardiff City
Draw
Bristol City
29
rhs 2.0
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