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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 16
Jul 11, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Dalian University Stadium
Henan

Chengdu Qianbao
2 - 0
Henan

Chow (51'), Xin (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mierzejewski (54'), Cao (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Chinese Super League clash between Chengdu Qianbao and Henan Songshan Longmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shandong 2-2 Chengdu Qianbao
Tuesday, August 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 0-1 Shandong
Friday, July 7 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 Henan Songshan Longmen

Chengdu Rongcheng were unlucky in their last match, as the early dismissal of their goalkeeper evidently affected their game plan and the outcome of the match. With a full team and against a Henan side that have been very poor on the road this season, we fancy that the hosts will come out on top in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.

Result
Chengdu QianbaoDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
50.24% (-0.411 -0.41) 25.97% (0.251 0.25) 23.79% (0.162 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.77% (-0.539 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.57% (-0.793 -0.79)55.43% (0.797 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.37% (-0.654 -0.65)76.63% (0.657 0.66)
Chengdu Qianbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (-0.506 -0.51)22.12% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.52% (-0.76799999999999 -0.77)55.48% (0.771 0.77)
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.34% (-0.291 -0.29)38.66% (0.295 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.6% (-0.278 -0.28)75.4% (0.28 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Chengdu Qianbao 50.24%
    Henan Songshan Longmen 23.79%
    Draw 25.97%
Chengdu QianbaoDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
1-0 @ 12.9% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 9.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.24%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.184 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.79%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 1
Henan
1-1
Chengdu Qianbao
Miao (28')
Dec 5, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 29
Henan
0-1
Chengdu Qianbao
Saldanha (90+9')
Sep 25, 2022 1pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua1411303052536
2Shanghai PortShanghai Port13103043142933
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu1491432151728
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan1484227161128
5Shandong TaishanShandong1484227171028
6Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang147162123-222
7Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen145452218419
8Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT144371824-615
9Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou144371930-1115
10Changchun YataiChangchun143471624-813
11Qingdao Youth Island143471632-1613
12Meizhou Hakka132651016-612
13Qingdao Hainiu143381119-812
14HenanHenan142571828-1011
15Nantong Zhiyun142481630-1410
16Sichuan JiuniuSichuan142481328-1510


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