Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stade de la Colombière
Cisse (45+1'), Dufour (48'), Didierjean (48')
FT
Nantes win 3-2 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
We said: Thaon 0-3 Nantes
Nantes may not be the most potent side in the French top flight, but their backline has been challenging to break down this year, and it is hard to imagine they will face much pressure given how much further Thaon are in the football league system when compared to les Canaris.
Experience and overall quality should equal another comfortable triumph for the reigning Coupe de France winners.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 91.14%. A draw had a probability of 6.5% and a win for Thaon had a probability of 2.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (11.65%) and 0-2 (11.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.11%), while for a Thaon win it was 1-0 (0.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result |
Thaon | Draw | Nantes |
2.31% ( -0.25) | 6.54% ( -0.55) | 91.14% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 37.31% ( -0.26) |
76.27% ( 1.46) | 23.73% ( -1.46) |
56.75% ( 1.92) | 43.24% ( -1.92) |
38.45% ( -0.4) | 61.55% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.58% ( -0.2) | 91.42% ( 0.2) |
97.04% ( 0.32) | 2.96% ( -0.32) |