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EFL Cup
Exeter City
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Stevenage

Exeter
1 - 1
Stevenage

Hartridge (5')
Trevitt (8'), Sweeney (30')
FT
(aet)
Roberts (69')
Evans (9'), Butler (63'), Thompson (89')
Exeter win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Reading
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One

Stevenage

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One

We say: Exeter City 1-0 Stevenage

 This is a match that could swing either way, and it would certainly not be a surprise to see Stevenage progress to the next round of the competition. Exeter will have home advantage, though, and we believe that will help them navigate their way into the third round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%).

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
37.55% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 27.15%35.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.41% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)54.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)76.26% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)64.04% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02)29.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (0.016999999999996 0.02)65.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 37.55%
    Stevenage 35.29%
    Draw 27.15%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 35.29%

How you voted: Exeter vs Stevenage

Exeter City
64.5%
Draw
16.1%
Stevenage
19.4%
31
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Stevenage
2-2
Exeter
List (23', 59')
Taylor (57'), Cuthbert (66')
Nombe (10'), Jay (50')
Sweeney (29'), Hartridge (44'), Ray (47'), Atangana (84')
> Preview
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Stevenage
0-1
Exeter

Coker (55')
McArdle (28')
Sweeney (49')
Jan 23, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 25
Exeter
3-1
Stevenage
Collins (10'), Jay (79'), Bowman (85')
List (81')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 32
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Williams (36'), Jay (81')
Kemp (79')
Digby (42'), Parrett (69'), Dabo (83'), Reading (90')
rhs 2.0
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