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Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Portsmouth

Bolton
1 - 0
Portsmouth

FT(HT: 1-0)

Curtis (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Portsmouth

We expect to see an entertaining encounter at the University of Bolton Stadium on Tuesday, with both teams likely to play with more freedom than they will in their forthcoming league meeting at the weekend. Ultimately, though, Bolton are a far more settled unit under Evatt than their manager-less opponents, and should be able to squeeze out a victory as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
52.69% (7.122 7.12) 23.5% (-1.727 -1.73) 23.81% (-5.39 -5.39)
Both teams to score 55.35% (0.885 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (3.385 3.39)45.45% (-3.381 -3.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (3.149 3.15)67.78% (-3.147 -3.15)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (4.217 4.22)17.22% (-4.213 -4.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.48% (6.932 6.93)47.52% (-6.927 -6.93)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-2.459 -2.46)33.14% (2.464 2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-2.81 -2.81)69.74% (2.814 2.81)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 52.69%
    Portsmouth 23.81%
    Draw 23.49%
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.536 0.54)
2-0 @ 8.83% (1.03 1.03)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.986 0.99)
3-0 @ 5.18% (1.173 1.17)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.362 0.36)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.693 0.69)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.735 0.74)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.312 0.31)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.69%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.88 -0.88)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.868 -0.87)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-1.467 -1.47)
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.947 -0.95)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-1.109 -1.11)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.527 -0.53)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 23.81%

How you voted: Bolton vs Portsmouth

Bolton Wanderers
82.6%
Draw
13.0%
Portsmouth
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Portsmouth
Sadlier (76' pen.)
Dempsey (38'), Aimson (49')
O'Brien (50')
(77')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Bolton
Pitman (66')
Curtis (32'), Close (58')

Hobbs (45'), Lowe (50')
Apr 24, 2010 3pm
Bolton
2-2
Portsmouth
Davies (28'), Klasnic (26')
Muamba (65')
Dindane (54', 68')
Hughes (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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