We said: Alfreton Town 1-2 Walsall
Alfreton have enough quality to make this a very uncomfortable match for Walsall, and we are expecting it to be a close affair in terms of general play and the scoreline. However, we are backing the League Two side to navigate their way into the next stage of the competition.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.75%) and 0-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.