The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly fixture between Italy and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Tuesday's friendly fixture against Turkey.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ecuador 0-2 Italy
Sunday, March 24 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, March 24 at 8pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Austria 6-1 Turkey
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We say: Italy 1-1 Turkey
Both nations qualified automatically for Euro 2024, but neither has fully convinced of late - particularly in defence. The two coaches will want to test solutions to some tactical conundrums without morale taking a hit through defeat, so a low-scoring draw could play out at the Dall'Ara. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw has a probability of 17.5% and a win for Turkey has a probability of 12.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Turkey win it is 1-2 (3.73%).
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Turkey |
69.62% ( 2.03) | 17.52% ( -0.95) | 12.86% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
