Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Getafe |
48.85% ( 1.09) | 27.34% ( 0.01) | 23.81% ( -1.11) |
Both teams to score 44.12% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.81% ( -0.78) | 60.18% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.62% ( -0.6) | 80.38% ( 0.59) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% ( 0.17) | 24.8% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.63% ( 0.24) | 59.37% ( -0.24) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.67% ( -1.48) | 41.33% ( 1.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.15% ( -1.33) | 77.85% ( 1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 14.29% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.21% Total : 23.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |