Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
37.44% ( 0.08) | 25.05% ( -0.01) | 37.5% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.59% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.12% ( 0.04) | 45.86% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.81% ( 0.04) | 68.18% ( -0.04) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( 0.06) | 24.12% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.57% ( 0.08) | 58.42% ( -0.08) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( -0.02) | 24.09% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.62% ( -0.02) | 58.37% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |