Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Monaco2 - 1Metz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reims 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Monaco 3-0 Metz
Metz have suffered 16 defeats versus Monaco in Ligue 1 this century, and they will be up against a side brimming with confidence who have had virtually no trouble finding the back of the net in this competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Metz |
48.83% ( 0.59) | 24.35% ( 0.08) | 26.82% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
