Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Clermont win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
28.14% ( 0.58) | 24.21% ( 0.14) | 47.65% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 57.11% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.97% ( -0.21) | 45.03% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.62% ( -0.2) | 67.38% ( 0.2) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( 0.31) | 29.49% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% ( 0.38) | 65.5% ( -0.38) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.99% ( -0.37) | 19.01% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.43% ( -0.62) | 50.57% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.24% Total : 47.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |