Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
41.93% ( -0.47) | 25.34% ( 0.03) | 32.73% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 55.76% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.11% ( -0.01) | 47.89% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.93% ( -0) | 70.07% ( 0) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.27% ( -0.23) | 22.74% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.59% ( -0.34) | 56.41% ( 0.34) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.17% ( 0.27) | 27.83% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.58% ( 0.35) | 63.42% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |