Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Nice |
47.19% ( -1.64) | 23.78% ( 0.33) | 29.02% ( 1.32) |
Both teams to score 59.2% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.45% ( -0.63) | 42.55% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.04% ( -0.63) | 64.95% ( 0.63) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.78% ( -0.88) | 18.22% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.75% ( -1.52) | 49.25% ( 1.52) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.39% ( 0.6) | 27.6% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.86% ( 0.76) | 63.13% ( -0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Nice |
2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.58% Total : 47.19% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |