Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Lille |
18.05% ( 0.23) | 23.54% ( 0.28) | 58.4% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 46.84% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.45% ( -0.75) | 52.55% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.79% ( -0.65) | 74.21% ( 0.64) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.95% ( -0.16) | 43.05% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.67% ( -0.14) | 79.33% ( 0.13) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.25% ( -0.45) | 17.74% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.57% ( -0.79) | 48.42% ( 0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.05% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.58% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.45% Total : 58.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |