Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Marseille |
35.15% ( 0.76) | 25.09% ( 0.02) | 39.76% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 57.24% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.75% ( 0.04) | 46.25% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.45% ( 0.04) | 68.55% ( -0.03) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.42% ( 0.46) | 25.58% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.55% ( 0.63) | 60.45% ( -0.62) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% ( -0.37) | 23.09% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% ( -0.55) | 56.94% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.15% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |