Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
53.34% ( 0.04) | 22.72% ( -0) | 23.93% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.1% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.14% ( -0.04) | 41.86% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.73% ( -0.04) | 64.26% ( 0.04) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.3% ( 0) | 15.7% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.23% ( 0) | 44.76% ( -0) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% ( -0.05) | 31.07% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.6% ( -0.06) | 67.39% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.61% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |