Fatigue and the aftershock of their Champions League demolition versus Arsenal can be pinpointed as factors in Lens' underwhelming defensive display against Lyon, but Haise's rearguard excel on the road, while Montpellier's shooting boots have often eluded them in recent matches.
The hosts' stingy 5-4-1 setup could still prove difficult for Lens to break down more than once, but with a well-rested Wahi determined to make his mark on his old stomping ground, another three points should come the way of Les Sang et Or.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
0.56) 
-0.11) 
