Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Toulouse |
35.04% ( 0.09) | 25.68% ( 0.05) | 39.28% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.12% ( -0.2) | 48.87% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.03% ( -0.18) | 70.97% ( 0.19) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.12% ( -0.04) | 26.88% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.8% ( -0.06) | 62.2% ( 0.06) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.49% ( -0.16) | 24.5% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.03% ( -0.23) | 58.96% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |