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Ligue 1
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Monaco

Nice
2 - 3
Monaco

Laborde (37' pen.), Guessand (74')
Lotomba (33'), Louchet (60'), Boudaoui (67'), Guessand (83'), Ndayishimiye (90+3')
Dante (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zakaria (16', 50'), Golovin (77')
Kehrer (35'), Golovin (44'), Zakaria (83'), Akliouche (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-4 Nice
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rouen 1-1 Monaco (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 8 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Nice 1-0 Monaco

 Losing to a third-tier side at the Coupe de France cannot be good for the confidence of the Principality club, who are in a slump domestically and, outside of Ben Yedder, are struggling to score consistently. Nice are an intimidating defensive force to deal with at home, with a keeper who may have a psychological edge on the Monegasque attackers given what transpired the last time these teams met when he saved two penalties. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawMonaco
45.49% (-0.259 -0.26) 25.12% (-0.117 -0.12) 29.39% (0.37 0.37)
Both teams to score 54.92% (0.603 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.71% (0.684 0.68)48.28% (-0.689 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.56% (0.623 0.62)70.43% (-0.627 -0.63)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (0.16500000000001 0.17)21.25% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (0.259 0.26)54.16% (-0.263 -0.26)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (0.61699999999999 0.62)30.26% (-0.623 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (0.734 0.73)66.43% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Nice 45.49%
    Monaco 29.39%
    Draw 25.11%
NiceDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 29.39%

How you voted: Nice vs Monaco

Nice
59.8%
Draw
26.8%
Monaco
13.4%
82
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Monaco
0-1
Nice

Golovin (72')
Boga (90+1')
Ndayishimiye (56')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 25
Monaco
0-3
Nice
Moffi (8', 26'), Thuram (43')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Nice
0-1
Monaco

Rosario (50'), Lotomba (90+3')
Embolo (69')
Camara (38')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Monaco
1-0
Nice
Golovin (45+2')
Tchouameni (45'), Disasi (52'), Martins (71'), Golovin (78'), Vanderson (81')

Daniliuc (42'), Thuram (86')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 6
Nice
2-2
Monaco
Delort (51'), Boudaoui (73')
Atal (58'), Dante (87')
Golovin (39'), Ben Yedder (77' pen.)
Badiashile (81'), Diop (89'), Sidibe (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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