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Ligue 1
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Marseille

Nice
1 - 0
Marseille

Guessand (79')
Dante (16'), Boga (24'), Boudaoui (56'), Moffi (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Balerdi (75'), Murillo (90+6')
Balerdi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Nice
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-0 Le Havre
Sunday, October 8 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-1 Marseille

 Nice have been excellent so far and are proving to be a frustrating side to come up against, but their previous two performances were not wholly convincing, and they must find another gear against better opposition here. Marseille simply do not win away, and that is unlikely to change against one of the league's most in-form sides, but they may well have enough to claim a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.

Result
NiceDrawMarseille
41.18% (1.083 1.08) 26.14% (-0.253 -0.25) 32.68% (-0.83300000000001 -0.83)
Both teams to score 53.12% (0.581 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.69% (0.85 0.85)51.31% (-0.85299999999999 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (0.739 0.74)73.14% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (0.95 0.95)24.62% (-0.952 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (1.314 1.31)59.12% (-1.316 -1.32)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.12 -0.12)29.54% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (-0.145 -0.14)65.56% (0.14399999999999 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Nice 41.18%
    Marseille 32.68%
    Draw 26.14%
NiceDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.153 0.15)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.099 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.68%

How you voted: Nice vs Marseille

Nice
53.7%
Draw
27.8%
Marseille
18.5%
54
Head to Head
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Nice
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Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Nice
0-3
Marseille

Beka Beka (57')
Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
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> Preview
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
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Nice
Milik (45+3' pen.), Bakambu (89')
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Lemina (90+1')
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> Preview
Feb 9, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nice
4-1
Marseille
Gouiri (10'), Kluivert (29', 49'), Delort (61')
Kluivert (32'), Daniliuc (90')
Bard (3' og.)
Sampaoli (34'), Balerdi (40')
> Preview
Oct 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Nice
1-1
Marseille
Gouiri (6')
Guessand (31'), Todibo (90+2')
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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