Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
60.43% ( -0.03) | 22.51% ( 0.02) | 17.07% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.06% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.06% ( -0.04) | 49.94% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.07% ( -0.04) | 71.93% ( 0.04) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.89% ( -0.02) | 16.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.48% ( -0.04) | 45.52% ( 0.04) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.29% ( -0.01) | 42.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.95% ( -0.01) | 79.05% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.46% 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 60.42% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.5% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.71% Total : 17.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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